Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 16.857689 19.207229 21.771102 24.777474 28.207550 32.000814 36.516506
2024-10-20 12.988011 15.923393 19.369750 23.718119 29.064298 35.430801 43.601140
2024-10-27 10.418060 13.643778 17.689179 23.142949 30.317945 39.456366 52.014897
2024-11-03 8.834573 12.309998 16.947407 23.602407 32.936412 45.606054 64.187344
2024-11-10 7.663775 11.324326 16.504444 24.393160 36.152855 53.114610 79.588124
2024-11-17 6.514294 10.174714 15.650612 24.472756 38.407590 59.702375 94.972231
2024-11-24 5.361719 8.823666 14.281199 23.554385 39.026841 64.003565 107.775373
2024-12-01 4.441293 7.679937 13.045521 22.635654 39.494272 68.169330 121.211414
2024-12-08 3.813059 6.912920 12.298379 22.402203 41.076119 74.475757 139.557619
2024-12-15 3.353550 6.360984 11.828695 22.574838 43.414254 82.532173 162.677391
2024-12-22 2.935294 5.812114 11.273356 22.493066 45.273026 90.055343 186.323848
2024-12-29 2.675211 5.521487 11.155101 23.236129 48.881060 101.607675 220.380053
2025-01-05 2.366078 5.090654 10.713869 23.303444 51.251255 111.367446 253.330744
2025-01-12 2.038582 4.563561 9.987443 22.642053 51.965899 117.836955 280.616479
2025-01-19 1.791784 4.167849 9.473077 22.355455 53.475905 126.389741 314.715650
2025-01-26 1.645311 3.973874 9.374265 23.013498 57.341425 141.181616 367.397695
2025-02-02 1.532790 3.839965 9.392032 23.961759 62.127953 159.201882 432.564042
2025-02-09 1.390978 3.608390 9.135916 24.182335 65.135916 173.430383 491.171366
2025-02-16 1.216231 3.260982 8.531180 23.384377 65.309658 180.350699 531.351154
2025-02-23 1.064397 2.946273 7.955608 22.556091 65.245260 186.657682 571.437714
2025-03-02 0.960035 2.741971 7.638179 22.389443 67.044273 198.624309 631.594506
2025-03-09 0.882747 2.599821 7.466865 22.614897 70.063835 214.833650 709.179073
2025-03-16 0.804814 2.441477 7.221874 22.574922 72.280455 229.136280 784.333314